“Computers in the future may have 1000 vaccum tubes…”

“Computers in the future may have only 1,000 vaccuum tubes and perhaps weigh only 1.5 tons” – Popular Mechanics article, March 1949

The above quote amply demonstrates the problems with predicting the future. This is because the future does not always evolve linearly from the past – there are often unforeseen quantum leaps in technology that have unpredictable consequences.

3 Replies to ““Computers in the future may have 1000 vaccum tubes…””

  1. Took me awhile to read all the comments, but I really enjoyed the article. It proved to be very useful to me and I am sure to all the commenters here! It’s always nice when you can not only be informed, but also engaged! I’m sure you had fun writing this article.

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